‘How can you know?’ Many skeptical of SCOTUSblog’s Prop 8 prediction

http://twitter.com/#!/erin_gs/status/316569835091935232

SCOTUSblog has been tweeting updates from inside the Supreme Court hearing on Prop 8 this  morning. It’s never too early to consult the Magic 8-Ball.

Breaking: 1st update- #prop8 unlikely to be upheld; either struck down or #scotus won’t decide case. More in 30 mins.

— SCOTUSblog (@SCOTUSblog) March 26, 2013

Breaking: key vote Kennedy VERY uncomfortable striking down #prop8. Suggests dismissing case. Would leave in place 9th Cir pro-#ssm ruling.

— SCOTUSblog (@SCOTUSblog) March 26, 2013

There are not 5 votes to strike down #prop8 and recognize equal right to #ssm at this time

— SCOTUSblog (@SCOTUSblog) March 26, 2013

Arguments done. #scotus won’t uphold or strike down #prop8 bc Kennedy thinks it is too soon to rule on #ssm. #prop8 will stay invalidated.

— SCOTUSblog (@SCOTUSblog) March 26, 2013

Media and observers on the Left and Right are suspicious of @SCOTUSblog’s bold and early prediction.

And Individ Mandate won’t survive RT: @scotusblog: There are not 5 votes to strike down #prop8 & recognize equal right to #ssm at this time

— DrewM (@DrewMTips) March 26, 2013

how do you know? RT @scotusblog: There are not 5 votes to strike down #prop8 and recognize equal right to #ssm at this time

— Sam Stein (@samsteinhp) March 26, 2013

So… is @scotusblog having a meltdown? Or have I just never noticed how, uh, bold they are in their predictions?

— McKay Coppins (@mckaycoppins) March 26, 2013

Likely true, but how can you know? MT @scotusblog: There are not 5 votes to strike down #prop8 & recognize equal right to #ssm at this time

— David Freddoso (@freddoso) March 26, 2013

It’s hopeless, don’t even try RT @samsteinhp: Remember, first impressions of SCOTUS oral arguments are always spot on #obamacare

— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) March 26, 2013

Maybe just relax with all the prophecy, @scotusblog, and tell us what’s being said.

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) March 26, 2013

Really strange for @scotusblog to make that bold a call while argument still ongoing. Wonder what happened.

— delrayser (@delrayser) March 26, 2013

I’d be really surprised if that @scotusblog prediction was merely tea leaf reading based on Qs. They don’t usually do that sort of thing.

— delrayser (@delrayser) March 26, 2013

Had explained to non-Catholics that guessing the outcome of a papal election is as futile as guessing a SCOTUS decision. Now seeing my error

— David Freddoso (@freddoso) March 26, 2013

@scotusblog Maybe it’s best to not make such interpretations after just a few minutes of oral arguments #obamacare

— Justin McLachlan (@justinmclachlan) March 26, 2013

Speculation @scotusblog: Arguments done. won’t uphold or strike down #prop8 bc Kennedy thinks it is too soon to rule. will stay invalidated.

— CA Catholic Conf (@CACatholicConf) March 26, 2013

The Justices have yet to vote and can sometimes veer from oral arguments, so it appears that SCOTUSblog tweet could be premature.

— Jaime Woo (@jaimewoo) March 26, 2013

SCOTUSblog, will I meet the man of my dreams? #SCOTUSblogpredictions

— Elahe Izadi (@ElaheIzadi) March 26, 2013

I love @scotusblog, and it has earned vast credibility, but it’s going a bit God-himself-cannot-sink-this-ship today.

— Popehat (@Popehat) March 26, 2013

Read more: http://twitchy.com/2013/03/26/how-can-you-know-skepticism-meets-scotusblogs-prediction-on-prop-8-outcome/

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